SHARE THIS In 2025, US economic growth is expected to continue due to fiscal stimulus, despite above-target inflation. Meanwhile, the strong dollar could face disruptions, the Bank of Japan may keep raising interest rates and China is seen balancing...
SHARE THIS Asian local government bonds are positioned to perform well in 2025, supported by accommodative central banks amid an environment of benign inflation and moderating growth. We expect Asian corporate and bank credit fundamentals to stay...
SHARE THIS This month we evaluate factors expected to attract attention in 2025 from a Japanese economy and equity market perspective. And as the government compiles another stimulus package, we discuss how Japan could be about to test the Laffer curve...
SHARE THIS China has been feeling the pressure with Donald Trump due to return for his second term as US president. However, during Trump's first term China actually outperformed the S&P 500 index, which demonstrates the importance of domestic policies...
SHARE THIS We have upgraded our near-term economic outlook for the US and anticipate Japan's "virtuous circle" to remain intact. Predicting the timing of any cyclical market downturn remains challenging. However, we also highlight heightened tail risks...
SHARE THIS The Reserve Bank of New Zealand began cutting interest rates late in 2024 and is anticipated to ease further in 2025. The interest rate environment is expected to be a positive factor for the equity market, which has seen the retail and...
SHARE THIS In what has turned out to be an eventful year for interest rates, one of the major factors for New Zealand's bond market in 2024 has been the impact of monetary policy. We expect the Reserve Bank of New Zealand to continue monetary easing in...
SHARE THIS Our comprehensive analysis of the Yanagi Model, which provides an example of how sustainability issues have become a key part of corporate governance practices, showed that ESG integration can drive shareholder value. The significant...
SHARE THIS The Fed and the BOJ both made interest rate decisions that were in line with market predictions, with the former cutting interest rates and the latter standing pat on policy. However, uncertainty around future policies and potential impacts...
SHARE THIS We retain our positive view on growth on resilient economic data and dovish monetary policies globally as inflation starts to ease worldwide. As for defensives, sovereign bond curves are steepening amid the beginning of the global...
SHARE THIS With their central banks bringing interest rates down from previously restrictive settings, 2024 has been the year when most of the world’s economic players have finally begun to experience an easing of monetary policy. In each instance,...
SHARE THIS Despite its small size and geographic location, New Zealand has led the World in a number of fields – physics, Postwar economic theory (Bill Phillips was born in NZ), inflation targeting (amongst the first to make this a statutory target),...
SHARE THIS This month we discuss how a rise in delistings reflects efforts to create a more attractive equity market; we also assess ways in which a merger by large automakers in Japan could stimulate reforms beyond the industry.
SHARE THIS Following the surprise result of the snap election in October 2024, Japanese politics has entered a very unique phase. We discuss how the fluid political situation could positively impact the Japanese market, which is already feeling the...
SHARE THIS We expect Asian local government bonds to perform well in 2025, supported by accommodative central banks amid an environment of benign inflation and moderating growth. The ongoing global easing cycle is expected to lower global yields,...
SHARE THIS Despite concerns about Donald Trump's impact on emerging markets, historical data shows that during his first term as US president, China, South Korea and Taiwan outperformed the S&P 500 although they are the most trade-sensitive equity...
SHARE THIS The future of US policy is surrounded by great uncertainty, particularly regarding tariff measures that the US may impose upon its trading partners. We explore options that are available to Japan to safeguard against tariffs the US may...
SHARE THIS The BOJ increased overnight rates by 25 basis points, raising the Mutan call rate to its highest since 2008. The decision reflects the BOJ's belief that the economy is performing in line with its view, with positive real wage growth and an...
SHARE THIS We retained our positive view on growth on resilient economic data and dovish monetary policies globally as inflation is now closer to central bank targets worldwide. Our view of defensives improved as higher yields now make the asset class...
SHARE THIS The Federal Reserve is seemingly following in the footsteps of the Bank of Japan and adopting a strategy of monetary policy gradualism. This measured approach is aimed at balancing rate cuts with inflation expectations and stabilising the...