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  • Balancing Act-Monthly insights: Multi-Asset Team-October 2023

    SHARE THIS Defying seemingly broad sentiment that a slowdown is coming, the US economy continues to chug along, and bond yields are continuing to wake up to the monetary reality that long-term rates need to be repriced accordingly. The adjustment has...

    https://www.nikkoam.co.nz/articles/2023/multi-asset-oct-2023
  • China and India’s contrasting inflation front

    SHARE THIS We explore the opportunities and risks emanating from China’s near-zero inflation and India’s above-average consumer prices.

    https://www.nikkoam.co.nz/articles/2023/2310-china-and-india-contrasting-inflation-front
  • These Are Era-Defining Times

    SHARE THIS It has been a wild few weeks within debt markets – sharp sell-offs, even sharper rallies, and then a renewed sell off. Movements in equity markets have looked tame by comparison. Bond markets are certainly having to process a lot of...

    https://www.nikkoam.co.nz/articles/2023/these-are-era-defining-times
  • Harnessing Change - Monthly Insights: Asian Equity-October 2023

    SHARE THIS While the risk-off environment stretched into another month, we are still finding plenty of positives in Asia. India’s macro remains favourable; Chinese equity markets are near the cheapest in 20 years; and the semiconductor industry is...

    https://www.nikkoam.co.nz/articles/2023/asian-equity-monthly-oct-2023
  • Navigating Japan Equities: Monthly Insights from Tokyo (November 2023)

    SHARE THIS We analyse the Bank of Japan’s decision to further tweak its yield curve control scheme amid the latest developments hinting at sustained wage growth; we also assess why an acute labour shortage could be a golden opportunity for Japan Inc....

    https://www.nikkoam.co.nz/articles/2023/japan-equity-monthly-november-2023
  • New Zealand Fixed Income Monthly – October 2023

    SHARE THIS The general election held in October resulted in a change in government for New Zealand. Although it is difficult to gain a full picture at this stage, we can make some key observations on monetary policy: the Reserve Bank of New Zealand’s...

    https://www.nikkoam.co.nz/articles/2023/nz-fixed-income-monthly-oct-23
  • New Zealand Equity Monthly – October 2023

    SHARE THIS In one of the most significant changes surrounding New Zealand’s equity market in recent years, the general election held in October delivered a change of government. Overall business sentiment has been generally positive after the election...

    https://www.nikkoam.co.nz/articles/2023/nz-equity-monthly-oct-23
  • Credit spreads: not as tight as they seem

    SHARE THIS Recently many fixed income investors have experienced steep price declines in their bond portfolios. We have argued that it is not only duration that explains the interest risk of a portfolio, but that convexity needs to be accounted for as...

    https://www.nikkoam.co.nz/articles/2023/2311-credit-spreads-not-as-tight-as-they-seem
  • Future Quality Insights -November 2023-New regime, new learning

    SHARE THIS The last few quarters have been a good reminder that we are in a changing world. As a result, we need to focus always on investing in enduring franchises and we would suggest that our Future Quality approach is soundly placed in that regard....

    https://www.nikkoam.co.nz/articles/2023/future-quality-insights-2311
  • On the Ground in Asia-Monthly Insights: Asian Fixed Income-October 2023

    SHARE THIS We expect macro and corporate credit fundamentals across Asia ex-China to stay resilient with fiscal buffers, although slower economic growth appears to loom over the horizon.

    https://www.nikkoam.co.nz/articles/2023/asian-fixed-income-monthly-oct-23
  • Balancing Act-Monthly insights: Multi-Asset Team-November 2023

    SHARE THIS We have held on to our view that the “higher for longer” narrative is not necessarily bad for equities, as robust earnings are supported by a US economy that continues to grow at above-trend rates. However, we are also sympathetic to the...

    https://www.nikkoam.co.nz/articles/2023/multi-asset-nov-2023
  • Japan’s “Show Me the Money” corporate governance: 3Q profit margins near record high

    SHARE THIS The just-released 3Q CY23 data on Japan’s aggregate corporate profits was a bit mixed, but the overall corporate recurring pre-tax profit margin surged to a record high on a four-quarter average. The non-financial service sector rose to...

    https://www.nikkoam.co.nz/articles/2023/2312-japan-show-money-corporate-governance-3q
  • China equity outlook 2024

    SHARE THIS For those willing to brave immediate challenges, we believe China will continue to offer long-term opportunities as the country has been working to become technologically self-sufficient and develop high-end technologies on its own in a more...

    https://www.nikkoam.co.nz/articles/2023/china-equity-outlook-2024
  • Asian credit outlook 2024

    SHARE THIS We expect fundamentals and technical backdrop for Asian credit to remain supportive in 2024. However, valuation is a challenge with current Asian high-grade spreads near historical lows. The myriad cyclical and structural factors driving the...

    https://www.nikkoam.co.nz/articles/2023/asian-credit-outlook-2024
  • Singapore equity outlook 2024

    SHARE THIS We believe that our “New Singapore” narrative focusing on sectors and companies that represent the future of the city-state will remain relevant in 2024. Energy transition has risen to prominence within the New Singapore narrative in...

    https://www.nikkoam.co.nz/articles/2023/singapore-equity-outlook-2024
  • ASEAN equity outlook 2024

    SHARE THIS We believe ASEAN will offer good pockets of growth and quality opportunities, as well as earnings resilience and protection amid some of the prevailing global macro headwinds.

    https://www.nikkoam.co.nz/articles/2023/asean-equity-outlook-2024
  • Asian equity outlook 2024

    SHARE THIS Considering that major tech companies are profitable, cash rich and cannot afford to lose out in the highly competitive AI race, spending on high-end computing and neural networks looks set to continue in 2024. This will likely create a...

    https://www.nikkoam.co.nz/articles/2023/asian-equity-outlook-2024
  • Asian rates and FX outlook 2024

    SHARE THIS We expect 2024 to be a year of higher returns and lower volatility for Asian local government bonds as US Treasury yields are seen stabilising. We also see Asian currencies firming against the dollar in 2024 as the Federal Reserve’s rate...

    https://www.nikkoam.co.nz/articles/2023/asian-fixed-income-and-fx-outlook-2024
  • Global macro outlook 2024

    SHARE THIS Much like this report in 2023, global conditions will remain unique and defy a confident overall summary; thus, here are ten predictions on some particularly noteworthy factors.

    https://www.nikkoam.co.nz/articles/2023/global-macro-outlook-2024
  • Japan equity outlook 2024

    SHARE THIS We expect 2024 to be a year of domestic consolidation and long-term reform measures, where markets are driven more by Japan-specific events than by global factors. After decades of deflation, we see Japan as finally breaking out of this...

    https://www.nikkoam.co.nz/articles/2023/japan-equity-outlook-2024