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  • A Round Trip to the Plaza Hotel, and the End of Orthodoxy

    SHARE THIS As the famous 1980s’ bumper sticker (almost) said, “shocks happen”. The global economy / ecosystem is an inherently dynamic entity, constantly changing its shape and composition. Some of these changes will of course favour some economies...

    https://www.nikkoam.co.nz/articles/a-round-trip-to-the-plaza-hotel,-and-the-end-of-orthodoxy
  • A big comeback: Rising fortunes of Asia’s small caps

    SHARE THIS After spending almost a decade in the shadows of their larger counterparts, Asia’s smaller companies are being viewed in a new light. Factors that had weighed on these businesses are now turning into tailwinds, and we have identified seven...

    https://www.nikkoam.co.nz/articles/2022/rising-fortunes-asian-small-caps-2210
  • Navigating Japan Equities: Monthly Insights from Tokyo (October 2022)

    SHARE THIS This month we analyse what immediate impact the full reopening of Japan could have on the economy and markets; we also review the factors that may make Prime Minister Kishida’s “asset-income doubling plan” more effective in the long term.

    https://www.nikkoam.co.nz/articles/2022/japan-equity-monthly-october-2022
  • Investing in a multipolar world

    SHARE THIS Between still high levels of inflation, fast-tightening central banks, a growing energy crisis in Europe and slow growth in China, it is easy to imagine a bleak growth outlook. But these difficult dynamics also harbour opportunities often...

    https://www.nikkoam.co.nz/articles/2022/investing-in-a-multipolar-world-october-2022
  • Harvesting Growth, Harnessing Change - Monthly Insights: Asian Equity-September 2022

    SHARE THIS Rising interest rates and inflation woes continued to weigh on regional and global markets. US consumer prices registered above expectations with the August consumer price index (CPI) jumping 8.3% year-on-year (YoY). The tight labour market...

    https://www.nikkoam.co.nz/articles/2022/asian-equity-monhtly-september-2022
  • On the Ground in Asia-Monthly Insights: Asian Fixed Income-September 2022

    SHARE THIS Going forward, despite some expected moderation amidst the slowdown in global growth, we believe that growth and corporate credit fundamentals will remain sufficiently robust to prevent a meaningful widening of credit spreads. However, some...

    https://www.nikkoam.co.nz/articles/2022/asian-fixed-income-monthly-september-22
  • Balancing Act-Monthly insights: Multi-Asset Team-October 2022

    SHARE THIS Central bank tightening is beginning to have an impact, but less evidently in terms of easing inflationary pressures than in causing strains on the global financial system. Policymakers are beginning to blink—first with Japan intervening to...

    https://www.nikkoam.co.nz/articles/2022/multi-asset-october-2022
  • New Zealand Equity Monthly – September 2022

    SHARE THIS The recent reporting season showed that New Zealand’s “gentailers” (companies that both generate and sell energy) remain committed to developing renewable generation capacity, with five such projects currently under construction. However, a...

    https://www.nikkoam.co.nz/articles/2022/nz-equity-monthly-september-22
  • New Zealand Fixed Income Monthly – September 2022

    SHARE THIS Compared to its global peers the New Zealand bond market was stable in September. In the coming months, the New Zealand market is unlikely to see UK levels of volatility; one factor behind the turmoil in the UK, for example, was the...

    https://www.nikkoam.co.nz/articles/2022/nz-fixed-income-monthly-september-2022
  • Global Equity Quarterly (Q3 2022)

    SHARE THIS The low for this bear market could be a lot closer at hand now than it was, with equity valuations having fallen considerably. We remain focused upon assessing our companies’ ability to deliver earnings expectations and cash generation....

    https://www.nikkoam.co.nz/articles/2022/global-equity-quarterly-q3-2022
  • The Inelastic Supply Curve

    SHARE THIS We have little (in fact, virtually no) doubt that the opening salvos of the monetary response to the Pandemic were driven by a sense of panic rather than by calculated analysis. The Federal Reserve appeared to be downplaying internally as...

    https://www.nikkoam.co.nz/articles/the-inelastic-supply-curve-2
  • The future looks bright for Asia’s equity markets

    SHARE THIS Asia continues to offer opportunities in terms of attractive companies; on a relative basis, Asian markets look set to outperform as the region becomes an even more important part of the global economy.

    https://www.nikkoam.co.nz/articles/2022/the-future-looks-bright-for-asias-equity-markets
  • The potential implications of China’s 20th Party Congress

    SHARE THIS China’s 20th Party Congress ended on 23 October with President Xi Jinping winning an unprecedented third term as expected. We provide a brief analysis of the Congress and the impact it could have on China’s zero-COVID policy and the capital...

    https://www.nikkoam.co.nz/articles/2022/potential_implications_of_chinas_20th_party_congress
  • Inbound tourism: An immediate boost for Japan

    SHARE THIS As Japanese Prime Minister Fumio Kishida focuses on various economic initiatives to shore up his support ratings, the revival of inbound tourism is seen as a measure that can provide the economy with an immediate boost.

    https://www.nikkoam.co.nz/articles/2022/inbound-tourism-immediate-boost-for-japan
  • Why convexity matters

    SHARE THIS Yields have moved significantly this year, challenging the assumption that the relationship between a bond’s price and yield is linear. We discuss convexity, which measures how sensitive a bond’s duration is to yield changes, and its...

    https://www.nikkoam.co.nz/articles/2022/why-convexity-matters
  • Navigating Japan Equities: Monthly Insights from Tokyo (November 2022)

    SHARE THIS We discuss Japan’s recent currency market interventions from an equity market perspective; we also share our thoughts on steadily rising inflation after a surge in the September core CPI.

    https://www.nikkoam.co.nz/articles/2022/japan-equity-monthly-november-2022
  • New Zealand Fixed Income Monthly – October 2022

    SHARE THIS As in the rest of the world, consumers in New Zealand are facing significant headwinds as the cost of living rises. The consensus was for inflation to decline rapidly after peaking, but the data now show that New Zealand’s inflation is...

    https://www.nikkoam.co.nz/articles/2022/nz-fixed-income-monthly-october-2022
  • New Zealand Equity Monthly – October 2022

    SHARE THIS A notable feature of global equities this year has been the significant divergence seen among indices. New Zealand’s S&P/NZX 50 Index has provided an example of this by following a different track to the overall global trend so far.

    https://www.nikkoam.co.nz/articles/2022/nz-equity-monthly-october-22
  • Harvesting Growth, Harnessing Change - Monthly Insights: Asian Equity-October 2022

    SHARE THIS The ASEAN region fared better on the whole in October thanks to gains by the Philippines and Malaysia; Hong Kong and Taiwan stocks were volatile while the China market continued sliding.

    https://www.nikkoam.co.nz/articles/2022/asian-equity-monhtly-october-2022
  • On the Ground in Asia-Monthly Insights: Asian Fixed Income-October 2022

    SHARE THIS We are inclined towards Singapore and South Korean government bonds, given their relatively higher sensitivities to stabilising US Treasury yields. In currencies, we see the Singapore dollar continuing to outperform its regional peers.

    https://www.nikkoam.co.nz/articles/2022/asian-fixed-income-monthly-october-22