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  • It’s Different This Time: Inflation Versus Deflation, Credit versus Money

    SHARE THIS It may not be quite as profound as the eternal “chicken and the egg question” but nevertheless we suspect that deep in the bowels of some academic institutions, aging economists are still debating which came first, money or credit? Did the...

    https://www.nikkoam.co.nz/articles/2021/its-different-this-time

  • Dispelling negative notions about Japan amid its increasing importance

    SHARE THIS Japan’s stock market does not deserve many of the ages-old worries and criticisms. Indeed, while not every company or circumstance is perfect, its performance, though lower than that of the US, has steadily outperformed, in constant currency...

    https://www.nikkoam.co.nz/articles/2021/dispelling-negative-notions-about-japanmid-its-increasing-importance

  • Global Investment Committee’s 12-month Outlook: Continue risk-positive, especially for Japan

    SHARE THIS Out of the six scenarios presented, a solid majority of our committee agreed again on a positive scenario, in which the global economy matches the market consensus for very strong growth, while equities continue to rally.

    https://www.nikkoam.co.nz/articles/2021/global-investment-committee-outlook-2107

  • Shocks we have known and return of the macro

    SHARE THIS The author is old enough to remember the rolling power cuts and “three day weeks” during 1973 and 1974 in the UK that were introduced by the government of the day in order to conserve the UK’s energy supplies in the wake of the first oil...

    https://www.nikkoam.co.nz/articles/2021/shock-we-have-know-and-return-macro

  • Multi-asset Monthly - July 2021

    SHARE THIS The US and China are likely reaching peak growth as stimulus and the initial burst of pent-up demand begin to wane. In China, while the credit impulse has turned negative—usually an ominous sign—demand continues to normalise, shifting from...

    https://www.nikkoam.co.nz/articles/2021/multi-asset-july-2021

  • Further improving Japan’s equity culture and wealth

    SHARE THIS Japan’s economy should boom after the Olympics burden passes. Its stock market will likely rebound sharply too, but one item that has limited Japan’s equity culture, and thus, its wealth, especially for wary pensioners, is overly...

    https://www.nikkoam.co.nz/articles/2021/further-improving-japan-equity-culture

  • Future Quality Insights - August 2021

    SHARE THIS The Tokyo summer Olympics have been a welcome distraction over the last few weeks and well done to Japan for hosting the games so successfully in the current environment. In particular it is inspiring to see the years of preparation and...

    https://www.nikkoam.co.nz/articles/2021/future-quality-insights-2108

  • Supply – Not Demand – Is the Problem

    SHARE THIS It goes without saying that the Covid-19 Pandemic has caused – and is still causing – disruptions to people’s ability to spend and companies’ ability to produce goods and to supply services. Moreover, the Pandemic looks set to disrupt the...

    https://www.nikkoam.co.nz/articles/supply-–-not-demand-–-is-the-problem

  • Are Central Banks Tightening into a Slowdown?

    SHARE THIS There has been a marked inflation of money balances in the USA and of course elsewhere within the global economy over the last 18 months that has led to a generalized inflation of household balance sheets – nominal expenditure, financial...

    https://www.nikkoam.co.nz/articles/are-central-banks-tightening-into-a-slowdown

  • Global Investment Committee’s 12-month Outlook: Continue risk-positive, especially for Japan

    SHARE THIS Out of the six scenarios presented, a narrow majority of our committee agreed again on a positive scenario in which the global economy matches the market consensus for solid growth, while equities continue to rally.

    https://www.nikkoam.co.nz/articles/2021/global-investment-committee-outlook-2110

  • New Zealand Fixed Income Monthly - October 2021

    SHARE THIS October was a tough month for the New Zealand bond market with yields rising in anticipation of further increases in cash rates and in response to global markets bracing for the possibility of central banks reducing stimulus by tapering bond...

    https://www.nikkoam.co.nz/articles/2021/nz-fixed-income-monthly-october-21

  • Balancing Act: Monthly insights from the Global Multi-Asset Team-November 2021

    SHARE THIS Has economic data really changed so much as to suggest an inflection point on inflation and the growth outlook was near? To some degree perhaps, at least in the eyes of the market, but not enough in the end for central banks to meaningfully...

    https://www.nikkoam.co.nz/articles/2021/multi-asset-november-2021

  • China: Regulate in order to innovate

    SHARE THIS Every few years, concerns emerge over whether China is investable. We are currently witnessing the latest round of this cycle amid China’s drive to regulate. However, investing in China during such moments of doubt has reaped substantial...

    https://www.nikkoam.co.nz/articles/2021/china-regulate-in-order-to-innovate

  • The Reluctant Fed

    SHARE THIS Although the late 1980s’ “Lawson Boom” in the UK was an interesting first real-time introduction to a credit boom, the author’s first authentic experience of the “madness” that can accompany a credit boom was centred on Japan in 1988 and...

    https://www.nikkoam.co.nz/articles/2021/the-reluctant-fed

  • Future Quality Insights - December 2021 - A trip to Lisbon

    SHARE THIS Just a few weeks ago I attended my first in-person conference since 2019. Over 40,000 people descended upon Lisbon for Web Summit, one of the world’s largest technology conferences. The event brings together CEO’s and founders of established...

    https://www.nikkoam.co.nz/articles/2021/future-quality-insights-2112

  • 2022 China Equity Outlook: Focusing on new market leaders

    SHARE THIS Amid a flurry of headlines, investors may have largely overlooked the significant number of recent positive developments in China, such as initiatives directed towards ambitious renewables targets, the continued opening up of the financial...

    https://www.nikkoam.co.nz/articles/2022/china-equity-outlook-2022

  • Harvesting Growth, Harnessing Change - Monthly Insights: Asian Equity-December 2021

    SHARE THIS Taiwan and South Korea were buoyed by strong exports as sustained global demand for electronics supported hardware tech stocks amid widespread supply chain disruptions. The ASEAN region saw mixed returns. Thailand was the best performer as...

    https://www.nikkoam.co.nz/articles/2021/asian-equity-monthly-december-2021

  • America Sneezes... Asia Stumbles

    SHARE THIS The Federal Reserve may have been caught by surprise by the persistence of inflation in the USA over recent months but we suspect that many investors in the Emerging Markets are about to experience a similarly unpleasant surprise of their...

    https://www.nikkoam.co.nz/articles/2022/america-sneezes-asia-stumbles

  • Differentiation through engagement: Opportunities in Japan equities

    SHARE THIS We highlight the increasing importance of engagement in Japan, explain how it could be the key to unlocking the long-underperforming Japanese market’s potential, and assess how it can lead to the generation of alpha.

    https://www.nikkoam.co.nz/articles/2022/differentiation-through-engagement

  • Balancing Act-Monthly insights: Multi-Asset Team-March 2022

    SHARE THIS The Russian invasion of Ukraine has created significant uncertainty for investors. Prior to the war’s outbreak, central bankers were already facing a challenging inflationary environment, and these new commodity-driven price pressures are...

    https://www.nikkoam.co.nz/articles/2022/multi-asset-march-2022

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